JS Hercules vs Närpes Kraft analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
VIF
0 - 1
HER
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
KER
4 - 2
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2018 |
HER
4 - 0
TAM
21%
22%
57%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
JBK
1 - 2
HER
28%
21%
51%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
HER
3 - 2
TP4
84%
10%
6%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Närpes Kraft
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2018 |
NAR
1 - 4
JBK
73%
15%
12%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
NAR
2 - 1
TP4
76%
14%
10%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
PK3
0 - 1
NAR
39%
23%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
GBK
3 - 1
NAR
76%
15%
9%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
NAR
0 - 1
OLS
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |