Ghir Abadla vs ES Mostaganem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
66.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ghir Abadla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
TIA
3 - 0
GAB
78%
15%
7%
|
16 | 51 | 35 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
MBR
1 - 0
GAB
31%
22%
47%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
HUS
1 - 2
GAB
83%
12%
5%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
GAB
1 - 2
ESK
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 57 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
OLY
0 - 1
GAB
83%
11%
5%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
ES Mostaganem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
ESM
1 - 0
MOS
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ORA
0 - 3
ESM
9%
15%
76%
|
62 | 14 | 48 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 0
GCM
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ASM
1 - 3
ESM
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ESM
4 - 1
ARB
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |