JS Baco vs Magenta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JS Baco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
AKU
1 - 5
BAC
73%
17%
10%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
BAC
1 - 4
AMD
17%
22%
62%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
GAI
4 - 0
BAC
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
LOS
1 - 0
BAC
79%
14%
7%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
8 - 1
MAN
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
5 - 1
LOS
54%
22%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
3 - 1
HIE
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
1 - 1
AUC
10%
17%
73%
|
33 | 70 | 37 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MOU
2 - 3
MAG
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |