Joy vs Lioli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MFC
0 - 2
JOY
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
JOY
0 - 0
LIK
48%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
JOY
0 - 1
LDF
47%
26%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MAT
1 - 2
JOY
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
JOY
2 - 0
MFC
46%
26%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lioli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LIO
1 - 2
LMP
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LCS
2 - 0
LIO
54%
24%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 3
LIO
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
LIO
1 - 1
MFC
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
LIO
1 - 0
LIK
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |