Jotun vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jotun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2004 |
OSO
1 - 0
JFC
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
JFC
2 - 1
NYB
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
ULL
2 - 3
JFC
71%
17%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
JFC
1 - 1
GJO
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ELV
1 - 1
JFC
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2004 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIL
61%
20%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
MOL
0 - 2
FOL
37%
24%
40%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2004 |
OSO
3 - 4
FOL
49%
23%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
FOL
2 - 0
NYB
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
ULL
2 - 1
FOL
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |