José Gálvez vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GAL
2 - 2
AYA
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
COM
2 - 2
GAL
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GAL
4 - 0
UNI
43%
29%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
GAL
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GAL
3 - 1
SPC
26%
27%
47%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
3 - 1
COM
51%
27%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
1 - 0
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 1
TOL
30%
26%
44%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
TOL
1 - 0
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |