Copa Santa Fe 1/16
Global 4-4
Jorge Newbery Venado Tuerto vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.8%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery Venado Tuerto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
SRI
0 - 1
JNE
23%
21%
56%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
JNE
3 - 3
SRI
69%
17%
14%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
JNE
3 - 1
ALI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 0
JNE
37%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
JNE
2 - 2
EST
21%
24%
54%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
TFE
2 - 1
PUE
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
PSM
0 - 1
TFE
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
TFE
0 - 2
SRI
45%
25%
29%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 0
TFE
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ADI
1 - 0
TFE
20%
21%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |