Jorge Newbery VM vs Huracán San Rafael analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
27.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jorge Newbery VM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LCY
0 - 2
NEW
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
NEW
0 - 3
HHE
25%
23%
52%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
2 - 0
MON
35%
24%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 3
ATL
37%
25%
38%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CEC
2 - 2
NEW
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Huracán San Rafael
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
ATL
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CEC
1 - 0
HUR
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
0 - 0
PAC
34%
24%
42%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
HUR
1 - 1
SMA
42%
24%
34%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
RDM
2 - 0
HUR
58%
20%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |