WC Qual. Asia 3rd Round Round 10

Jordan vs Iraq analysis

Jordan Iraq
79 ELO 81
-8.4% Tilt -10.1%
698º General ELO ranking 528º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.1%
Jordan
26.5%
Draw
31.3%
Iraq

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.1%
Win probability
Jordan
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
Iraq
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jordan
+20%
-4%
Iraq

ELO progression

Jordan
Iraq
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jordan
Jordan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2025
OMA
Oman
0 - 3
Jordan
JOR
44%
27%
29%
79 80 1 0
30 May. 2025
KSA
Saudi Arabia
2 - 0
Jordan
JOR
47%
26%
27%
79 80 1 0
25 Mar. 2025
KOR
South Korea
1 - 1
Jordan
JOR
70%
19%
12%
79 89 10 0
20 Mar. 2025
JOR
Jordan
3 - 1
Palestine
PLE
71%
19%
10%
79 63 16 0
14 Mar. 2025
JOR
Jordan
1 - 1
North Korea
PRK
60%
22%
18%
79 69 10 0

Matches

Iraq
Iraq
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2025
IRQ
Iraq
0 - 2
South Korea
KOR
22%
24%
53%
81 89 8 0
25 Mar. 2025
PLE
Palestine
2 - 1
Iraq
IRQ
17%
24%
60%
81 62 19 0
20 Mar. 2025
IRQ
Iraq
2 - 2
Kuwait
KWT
67%
21%
12%
81 64 17 0
28 Dec. 2024
IRQ
Iraq
1 - 3
Saudi Arabia
KSA
40%
27%
33%
82 80 2 -1
25 Dec. 2024
BHR
Bahrain
2 - 0
Iraq
IRQ
34%
27%
39%
82 75 7 0