Jonsered vs Ockero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.3%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
10º
14º
11º
21
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jonsered
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
HIT
3 - 3
JON
39%
22%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
JON
2 - 0
LAH
28%
21%
50%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +3 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
LIS
5 - 1
JON
59%
20%
22%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
JON
0 - 2
AST
26%
25%
50%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
QVI
3 - 3
JON
64%
17%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ockero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
OCK
1 - 1
VAR
10%
15%
75%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
SAV
3 - 3
OCK
84%
10%
6%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
OCK
1 - 3
LIN
11%
15%
74%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HFF
2 - 0
OCK
86%
10%
5%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OCK
1 - 4
IKT
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | -1 |