Eerste Divisie Round 4

Jong Utrecht vs NAC Breda analysis

Jong Utrecht NAC Breda
55 ELO 70
11.5% Tilt 7.8%
3954º General ELO ranking 617º
79º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
19.4%
Jong Utrecht
23.3%
Draw
57.3%
NAC Breda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
Jong Utrecht
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.3%
Win probability
NAC Breda
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Utrecht
+3%
-8%
NAC Breda

ELO progression

Jong Utrecht
NAC Breda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Utrecht
Jong Utrecht
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2020
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
57%
22%
22%
56 52 4 0
11 Sep. 2020
VOL
FC Volendam
0 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
68%
19%
13%
55 65 10 +1
02 Sep. 2020
HER
Heracles
4 - 0
Jong Utrecht
JUT
78%
14%
8%
55 74 19 0
28 Aug. 2020
JUT
Jong Utrecht
1 - 2
FC Eindhoven
EIN
45%
24%
31%
56 57 1 -1
22 Aug. 2020
RJC
Roda JC
2 - 1
Jong Utrecht
JUT
45%
23%
32%
56 55 1 0

Matches

NAC Breda
NAC Breda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 2020
NAC
NAC Breda
2 - 1
Den Bosch
BOS
58%
23%
18%
70 61 9 0
06 Sep. 2020
HEL
Helmond Sport
0 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
9%
19%
73%
69 46 23 +1
29 Aug. 2020
NAC
NAC Breda
6 - 1
Jong AZ
ALK
68%
20%
12%
69 53 16 0
22 Aug. 2020
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 1
NAC Breda
NAC
45%
23%
32%
69 68 1 0
18 Aug. 2020
RKC
RKC Waalwijk
0 - 2
NAC Breda
NAC
22%
21%
57%
69 59 10 0