Jong PSV vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SPA
2 - 2
PSV
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
PSV
0 - 3
PSV
7%
19%
74%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
EXC
2 - 2
HEL
18%
23%
60%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
EXC
0 - 2
BVO
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
SPA
1 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 3
VOL
22%
24%
54%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
FCO
2 - 0
EXC
55%
22%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |