Holland Reserve League Beloften First Division Round 10

Jong Ajax vs PSV U21 analysis

Jong Ajax PSV U21
42 ELO 36
2.2% Tilt 8.8%
1942º General ELO ranking 32428º
42º Country ELO ranking 545º
ELO win probability
61.1%
Jong Ajax
19.3%
Draw
19.6%
PSV U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
Jong Ajax
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19.6%
Win probability
PSV U21
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Jong Ajax
-24%
+4%
PSV U21

ELO progression

Jong Ajax
PSV U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jong Ajax
Jong Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2012
JON
Jong Ajax
0 - 3
Heerenveen U21
HER
59%
21%
20%
43 38 5 0
10 Dec. 2012
FCU
Utrecht U21
0 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
20%
20%
60%
43 25 18 0
26 Nov. 2012
VIT
Vitesse U21
0 - 0
Jong Ajax
JON
15%
18%
67%
43 18 25 0
01 Oct. 2012
GRA
De Graafschap U21
2 - 5
Jong Ajax
JON
13%
18%
69%
43 22 21 0
24 Sep. 2012
JON
Jong Ajax
5 - 0
Jong Volendam
VOL
85%
10%
5%
42 18 24 +1

Matches

PSV U21
PSV U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2012
HER
Heerenveen U21
4 - 4
PSV U21
PSV
49%
22%
29%
37 38 1 0
26 Nov. 2012
FYN
Feyenoord U21
4 - 5
PSV U21
PSV
26%
22%
52%
37 26 11 0
22 Oct. 2012
NEC
NEC Nijmegen U21
0 - 1
PSV U21
PSV
27%
22%
51%
35 25 10 +2
01 Oct. 2012
PSV
PSV U21
1 - 4
Vitesse U23
VIT
62%
19%
19%
35 28 7 0
24 Sep. 2012
DBS
Den Bosch U21
0 - 5
PSV U21
PSV
15%
19%
67%
35 19 16 0