Jong Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
EIN
3 - 0
JON
23%
22%
55%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
JON
0 - 1
FCO
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
HEL
1 - 1
JON
21%
21%
58%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
JON
1 - 1
NAC
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
JON
4 - 3
MVV
66%
19%
15%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
NEC
3 - 2
ALK
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
NEC
31%
24%
45%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NEC
1 - 1
TEL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
NEC
33%
25%
43%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
FCO
2 - 1
NEC
14%
20%
66%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |