Jong Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
BVO
2 - 1
JON
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
VOL
3 - 1
JON
16%
21%
63%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
JON
2 - 1
RKC
75%
16%
8%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
PSV
2 - 1
JON
31%
23%
46%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
JON
3 - 0
TEL
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
NEC
3 - 1
ALK
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
NEC
2 - 3
FOR
55%
22%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
NEC
1 - 5
FCO
70%
19%
11%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
TEL
0 - 3
NEC
21%
23%
56%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
NEC
0 - 1
EIN
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |