Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
EIN
2 - 1
JON
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
JON
7 - 0
FCO
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
MVV
1 - 0
JON
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
JON
7 - 1
ACH
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2016 |
RKC
3 - 2
JON
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 0
GRA
70%
18%
12%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 3
FCD
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
SCH
5 - 1
GRA
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
GRA
3 - 0
FCE
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |