Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2013 |
HEL
3 - 2
JON
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 69 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
JON
0 - 4
FCD
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2013 |
VVV
5 - 1
JON
81%
13%
7%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
JON
0 - 3
FOR
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
EXC
3 - 1
JON
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 3
EIN
64%
20%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 1
GRA
58%
22%
20%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GRA
6 - 1
FCO
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
WIL
0 - 0
GRA
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 0
GRA
59%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |