Jong Ajax vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
GRA
4 - 2
TWE
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2001 |
RKC
2 - 0
GRA
64%
21%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2001 |
GRA
4 - 2
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
GRA
0 - 2
VIT
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |