Jong Ajax vs Utrecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
56.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2002 |
JON
3 - 0
TEL
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2001 |
JON
2 - 1
TWE
17%
22%
61%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2001 |
JON
2 - 0
GRA
33%
25%
43%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Utrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
GRA
0 - 0
UTR
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 0
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2002 |
UTR
4 - 2
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2002 |
WIL
4 - 2
UTR
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
PSV
4 - 0
UTR
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |