Jong Ajax vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
VOL
4 - 0
JON
28%
23%
50%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
JON
2 - 2
TEL
70%
17%
12%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 2
JON
5%
13%
82%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2020 |
JON
2 - 4
NAC
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
JUT
7 - 2
JON
10%
17%
73%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -3 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 0
MVV
71%
17%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
EIN
3 - 1
EXC
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
6 - 4
BOS
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
HEL
1 - 4
EXC
15%
22%
64%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |