Jong Ajax vs Jong AZ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jong Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
JON
2 - 0
TEL
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
ALM
2 - 0
JON
18%
18%
65%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
VOL
4 - 0
JON
28%
23%
50%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
JON
2 - 2
TEL
70%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
HEL
0 - 2
JON
5%
13%
82%
|
67 | 41 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Jong AZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
ALK
0 - 3
BVO
18%
23%
59%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
5 - 1
ALK
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
ALK
2 - 4
EIN
49%
23%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
EXC
3 - 3
ALK
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2020 |
ALK
1 - 1
VOL
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |