Joinville vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
JEC
0 - 2
GUA
28%
31%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
JEC
1 - 2
ATP
48%
30%
22%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1987 |
CSA
3 - 2
JEC
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1987 |
CEA
1 - 0
JEC
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1987 |
JEC
0 - 1
SPO
45%
28%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1987 |
CRI
3 - 0
RIO
59%
24%
17%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
0 - 0
INT
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
0 - 0
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
0 - 0
VIT
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1987 |
RIO
2 - 1
TRE
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |