Joinville vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 0
IRA
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
IRA
0 - 2
JEC
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
OES
0 - 0
JEC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 1
ECS
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MET
2 - 3
OPE
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
MET
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
ECS
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
JEC
2 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
OPE
1 - 0
OES
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |