Joinville vs Marcílio Dias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AVA
2 - 1
JEC
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
JUV
2 - 3
JEC
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JEC
2 - 1
CAC
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
FFL
2 - 1
JEC
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BRU
5 - 4
JEC
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
FFL
25%
26%
49%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
CHA
15%
22%
64%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CRI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAC
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |