Estonia Second Division B Round 14

Johvi Phoenix vs Maardu FC analysis

Johvi Phoenix Maardu FC
53 ELO 79
19.6% Tilt 4.2%
4253º General ELO ranking 697º
25º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
6.5%
Johvi Phoenix
13.8%
Draw
79.8%
Maardu FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
Johvi Phoenix
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
79.7%
Win probability
Maardu FC
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Johvi Phoenix
+28%
+6%
Maardu FC

ELO progression

Johvi Phoenix
Maardu FC
Tartu Kalev
TJK Legion
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Johvi Phoenix
Johvi Phoenix
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 May. 2025
NOU
Nõmme United II
3 - 2
Johvi Phoenix
JFP
52%
23%
25%
54 55 1 0
25 May. 2025
JFP
Johvi Phoenix
3 - 0
TJK Legion
TJK
54%
22%
24%
52 50 2 +2
18 May. 2025
JFP
Johvi Phoenix
3 - 3
Paide II
PAI
63%
19%
18%
52 46 6 0
10 May. 2025
JFP
Johvi Phoenix
2 - 2
Tabasalu Charma
TAB
64%
18%
17%
52 46 6 0
03 May. 2025
FAT
Tartu Kalev
2 - 0
Johvi Phoenix
JFP
42%
25%
34%
53 52 1 -1

Matches

Maardu FC
Maardu FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 May. 2025
MAA
Maardu FC
3 - 0
Paide II
PAI
91%
7%
2%
79 46 33 0
24 May. 2025
MAA
Maardu FC
2 - 0
Nõmme United II
NOU
51%
24%
25%
78 55 23 +1
17 May. 2025
TJK
TJK Legion
3 - 5
Maardu FC
MAA
7%
14%
79%
78 50 28 0
10 May. 2025
JKN
Trans II
1 - 0
Maardu FC
MAA
7%
15%
78%
78 56 22 0
03 May. 2025
MAA
Maardu FC
0 - 1
Läänemaa Haapsalu
LAH
93%
6%
2%
78 39 39 0