Joe Public FC vs W Connection analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
JOE
1 - 1
CAL
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
JOE
3 - 1
SAN
49%
25%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 2
JOE
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 3
JOE
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
JOE
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
W Connection
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CON
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
CON
3 - 2
RES
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2009 |
CON
2 - 0
DEF
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
CON
1 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |