Joe Public FC vs System 3 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.6%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
JOE
5 - 0
WBC
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
JOE
8 - 2
DEV
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 6
JOE
12%
18%
71%
|
62 | 14 | 48 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
VIC
3 - 4
JOE
17%
20%
64%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
JOE
0 - 0
CON
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
System 3
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
WBC
2 - 0
SYS
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
BAY
2 - 2
SYS
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 62 | 51 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SYS
0 - 4
BAY
12%
18%
70%
|
11 | 62 | 51 | 0 |