Joe Public FC vs Ma Pau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
JOE
1 - 0
SEN
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 3
JOE
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
TBU
0 - 3
JOE
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
JOE
2 - 3
CAL
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
JOE
1 - 1
UPT
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ma Pau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
SEN
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 3
PAU
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
PAU
4 - 2
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2009 |
UPT
0 - 0
PAU
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
TBU
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |