Joe Public FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
25.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 1
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CAL
1 - 1
JOE
47%
24%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
TBU
1 - 4
JOE
30%
24%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 3
BAY
51%
22%
27%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
JOE
1 - 1
PRI
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2010 |
DEF
1 - 0
SEN
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 3
DEF
59%
21%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
DEF
2 - 1
CON
40%
28%
32%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
3 - 0
POL
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
DEF
0 - 2
CAL
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |