Joe Public FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 3
JOE
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
1 - 2
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
0 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 1
JOE
50%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
UPT
1 - 1
JOE
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
DEF
4 - 1
SEN
59%
23%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEF
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
JOE
5 - 0
DEF
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2008 |
DEF
2 - 1
CAL
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
DEF
0 - 0
PAU
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |