Joe Public FC vs Defence Force analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
JOE
1 - 2
UPT
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 0
JOE
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
JOE
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2007 |
CAL
1 - 0
JOE
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
JOE
3 - 1
TBU
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Defence Force
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 0
CON
52%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
ANN
1 - 2
DEF
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
DEF
2 - 1
NOR
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 1
DEF
49%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |