Joe Public FC vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
JOE
1 - 1
UPT
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
ANN
3 - 5
JOE
49%
25%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
TBU
1 - 3
JOE
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
JOE
3 - 0
ANN
51%
24%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 4
JOE
46%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
CAL
2 - 1
SEN
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
CAL
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAL
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CON
2 - 1
CAL
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2009 |
UPT
0 - 1
CAL
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |