Joe Public FC vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Joe Public FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
TBU
1 - 2
JOE
36%
25%
39%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
PAU
4 - 2
JOE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
JOE
1 - 4
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 1
JOE
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
JOE
1 - 3
OLI
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PAU
2 - 1
CAL
36%
26%
37%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 3
SAN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 1
UPT
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CAL
1 - 1
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2008 |
CAL
2 - 2
DEF
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |