JJ Urquiza vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
JJU
1 - 1
ACA
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2006 |
ARM
1 - 2
JJU
27%
26%
48%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
JJU
1 - 1
LUJ
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2006 |
SMA
0 - 3
JJU
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
ARR
0 - 0
JJU
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SMG
2 - 2
EXC
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
LAM
0 - 0
EXC
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
2 - 3
SAC
40%
26%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
EXC
1 - 1
VSC
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
EXC
0 - 0
COL
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |