JJ Urquiza vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
JJ Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AND
1 - 2
JJU
44%
28%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
JJU
3 - 1
ARQ
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 0
JJU
39%
27%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
JJU
1 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAÑ
2 - 1
JJU
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 4
CAÑ
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 0
CAD
62%
22%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAD
2 - 1
MER
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SMG
1 - 1
CAD
33%
30%
37%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
CAD
1 - 0
TAL
41%
28%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |