Torneo Regional Federal Amateur . 1/32
Global 6-3
J.J. Moreno vs Deportiva Catriel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
J.J. Moreno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 2
MOR
18%
19%
62%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
1 - 2
RAC
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
CAI
2 - 1
MOR
50%
21%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
JNC
58%
20%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
HUR
3 - 2
MOR
48%
22%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportiva Catriel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 2
MOR
18%
19%
62%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ARN
3 - 3
CAT
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
IND
3 - 2
CAT
59%
20%
22%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CAT
2 - 1
AMI
20%
20%
61%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
CAT
3 - 2
ARN
28%
22%
50%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |