Uganda Cup . 1/16

Busoga United vs Tubur United analysis

Busoga United Tubur United
30 ELO 7
-21.6% Tilt -11.1%
8515º General ELO ranking 17097º
16º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
67.5%
Busoga United
19.3%
Draw
13.2%
Tubur United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
Busoga United
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
13.2%
Win probability
Tubur United
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Busoga United
Tubur United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Busoga United
Busoga United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2024
JIN
Busoga United
2 - 3
NEC FC
NEC
50%
23%
27%
31 26 5 0
07 Jan. 2024
VIP
Vipers SC
3 - 0
Busoga United
JIN
66%
19%
16%
32 37 5 -1
02 Jan. 2024
JIN
Busoga United
2 - 1
Kitara
KIT
27%
22%
51%
31 36 5 +1
28 Dec. 2023
BUL
BUL FC
1 - 0
Busoga United
JIN
64%
20%
16%
31 39 8 0
21 Dec. 2023
JIN
Busoga United
2 - 2
Uganda Revenue Authority
URA
28%
26%
47%
31 37 6 0
X