Jiangxi Lushan vs Shanghai Jiading Huilong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
28%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
15º
16º
16º
26
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 53 |
3º
|
39.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 48 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 47 |
6º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
28% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 35 |
9º
|
44% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 34 |
10º
|
39.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 31 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 30 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
23% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 26 |
15º
|
39% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 20 |
16º
|
72.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
11.5% | 98.5% |
|
Relegation
|
88.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GFC
2 - 0
JIA
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
GFC
2 - 1
JIA
66%
22%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
JIA
3 - 1
SHE
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SDO
0 - 1
JIA
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
JIA
1 - 2
SHA
41%
25%
34%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Shanghai Jiading Huilong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 1
NAN
26%
28%
47%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
SHA
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 1
NHC
25%
21%
54%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
SHA
1 - 0
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
YAN
3 - 0
SHA
56%
24%
20%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |