Jiangxi Lushan vs Baoding Yingli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jiangxi Lushan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HEB
1 - 1
JIA
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
JIA
2 - 0
HEB
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
JIA
1 - 1
KEJ
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
SIC
1 - 1
JIA
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JIA
3 - 1
SHR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Baoding Yingli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
KEJ
0 - 2
BAY
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BAY
1 - 1
KEJ
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BIT
0 - 3
BAY
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAY
0 - 2
ANH
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
HOH
1 - 4
BAY
15%
21%
63%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | +1 |