Ji-Paraná vs Vila Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
58%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ji-Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
PAR
1 - 1
SAO
19%
23%
58%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2005 |
LUV
5 - 0
PAR
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
VIL
4 - 2
PAR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 1
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Vila Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 0
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 2
LUV
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 1
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 1
OPE
25%
23%
51%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2005 |
OPE
2 - 2
VIL
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |