Jezero vs Iskra Danilovgrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
7º
31
7º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
MOR
1 - 0
JEZ
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PET
2 - 1
JEZ
42%
28%
31%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
JEZ
0 - 2
JED
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 1
JEZ
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
JEZ
1 - 0
SUT
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Iskra Danilovgrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 3
JED
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
FKA
3 - 0
IKD
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 1
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
IKD
1 - 2
SUT
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
RUD
3 - 1
IKD
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |