Jezero vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
48.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
9º
7º
70
1º
10º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
IKD
1 - 1
JEZ
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
0 - 0
MOR
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 1
PET
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
JEZ
1 - 0
FKA
35%
28%
37%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SUT
4 - 2
JEZ
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
4 - 0
JED
64%
21%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
FKA
1 - 1
BUD
29%
27%
45%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 1
SUT
50%
24%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BUD
1 - 0
DEC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PET
1 - 1
BUD
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |