Jesus del Monte vs Peña Revilla SD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+74%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesus del Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
LIE
1 - 0
JDM
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
JDM
2 - 2
SJU
33%
23%
45%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
REV
6 - 1
JDM
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
JDM
2 - 3
CAS
30%
22%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
NMB
0 - 2
JDM
46%
22%
32%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Peña Revilla SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
PRE
2 - 0
MCU
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
UNI
0 - 2
PRE
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
PRE
1 - 1
SAM
60%
19%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BUE
1 - 2
PRE
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
PRE
7 - 1
RIO
79%
13%
8%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | +1 |