Jesus del Monte vs Castro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
10.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.9%
5.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jesus del Monte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
LIE
0 - 2
JDM
35%
23%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
JDM
5 - 0
SRO
87%
9%
4%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JDM
1 - 0
GNZ
59%
20%
22%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 5
JDM
14%
19%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
JDM
2 - 1
MER
76%
14%
9%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Castro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
GNZ
28%
22%
51%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 5
CAS
40%
22%
37%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
MER
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VEL
4 - 1
CAS
46%
22%
32%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 2
FOC
34%
22%
45%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |