Jerv vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
TFC
4 - 0
JER
77%
14%
9%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
JER
2 - 3
FOL
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
KJE
2 - 1
JER
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
JER
0 - 0
FRA
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
RUN
1 - 4
JER
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 2
ALG
61%
20%
20%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
AIK
3 - 3
VAR
25%
23%
51%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
VAR
2 - 4
NOT
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
VIK
3 - 1
VAR
22%
23%
55%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
82%
12%
7%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |