Jerv vs Brann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
8º
3º
20
1º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 52 |
1º
|
69% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 49 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
|
3º
|
30 | 44 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 43 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 36 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 30 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 27 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 27 |
12º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 19 |
14º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
2% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 87% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 13% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
JER
4 - 1
ETO
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
SSK
2 - 1
JER
46%
25%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
JER
1 - 3
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
NOT
2 - 3
JER
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2025 |
JER
1 - 1
FKA
53%
23%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
0 - 2
SSK
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
NOT
3 - 0
BRA
37%
24%
39%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2025 |
BRA
2 - 2
ETO
44%
23%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
FKA
6 - 1
BRA
40%
23%
37%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2025 |
BRA
4 - 3
FFC
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |