Jerez vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ULP
1 - 0
JER
49%
27%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
JER
2 - 1
BET
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ECI
0 - 1
JER
49%
28%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
JER
2 - 0
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CDL
2 - 1
JER
41%
30%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 0
MER
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2004 |
CDB
4 - 2
LAN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 0
VEC
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
LAN
1 - 1
ULP
69%
19%
13%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
BET
0 - 1
LAN
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |