Jerez vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
4.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+209%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
GUA
0 - 4
JER
9%
22%
68%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
JER
2 - 0
COR
86%
11%
4%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 May. 1993 |
JER
0 - 1
DBN
44%
26%
31%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1993 |
BUR
0 - 0
JER
22%
27%
51%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1993 |
CDZ
1 - 2
JER
14%
25%
61%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
UDF
3 - 1
ADL
55%
24%
22%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
UCL
2 - 1
UDF
42%
27%
31%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1994 |
UDF
3 - 0
ADL
46%
26%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1994 |
VIL
1 - 3
UDF
64%
21%
15%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
UDF
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |