Jerez vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
25%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
VEC
1 - 1
JER
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
MER
1 - 1
JER
38%
30%
32%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
JER
1 - 1
CDB
29%
29%
42%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
LAN
1 - 0
JER
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
JER
2 - 0
ULP
37%
29%
34%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 0
MER
45%
28%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
CDB
1 - 2
MEL
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 1
LAN
38%
29%
33%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ULP
1 - 0
MEL
60%
24%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
MEL
2 - 1
BET
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |