Jerez vs CD Don Álvaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
5º
24
13º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 55 |
3º
|
72% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 54 |
4º
|
72% | |
|
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 43 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
81.5% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
81.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
24 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AZU
2 - 2
JER
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 3
ADL
32%
25%
42%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UCL
1 - 0
JER
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
JER
1 - 0
OLI
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PUE
3 - 0
JER
19%
23%
58%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
CD Don Álvaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
UDF
38%
24%
39%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MIA
0 - 1
CDD
50%
23%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
0 - 2
MOR
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ARR
3 - 2
CDD
62%
21%
17%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CDD
1 - 2
TRU
24%
23%
54%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |